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Who will win Ligue 1 2022/23? Prediction & odds for the favorites

Paris Saint-Germain have dominated Ligue 1 for many years and also won the French league last season with 86 points. Inevitably, we couldn’t expect a season like 2020/21, during which OSC Lille were able to dethrone the Parisians to everyone’s surprise. Especially since PSG launched one of the biggest transfer offensives in the history of football in the summer of 2021. Once again, the holding company ‘Qatar Sports Investments’ transferred colossal sums from the desert state to the term account of the now ten-time French champion.

Controversial president Nasser Al-Khelaifi didn’t hesitate to add Lionel Messi to Kylian Mbappé and Neymar. With this recruitment, the chances of Nice, Marseille, Lille and Lyon creating even a little suspense in the championship were almost nil. By the end of the first part of the season, PSG were at the top of the Ligue 1 standings with 46 points out of a possible 57 and 12 points ahead of Nice.

The question of who would be champion was resolved from day one. But the question of who would follow in places two to five in the standings and thus represent France at international level next season was a thrilling one until the final day. Finally, Marseille overtook AS Monaco on the 38th day and thus qualified directly for the Champions League as vice-champion. Monegasques can now only access the C1 by going through the qualifying rounds.

Who will win Ligue 1 in 2022/23? The comparison of the best odds

Crew Winamax NetBet Bwin
Paris Saint Germain 1.08 1.09 1.10
Marseilles 20.00 12.00 15.00
Lyons 20.00 12.00 15.00
monaco 25.00 14.00 17.00
reindeer 40.00 28.00 34.00
Nice 50.00 37.00 51.00

Paris Saint-Germain – With Galtier, finally a Champions League title?

By winning their tenth French championship, Paris Saint-Germain equaled AS Saint-Etienne’s title record. It is more than likely that the capital club will be the only real contender for a new title at the end of next season. Just with Kylian Mbappé’s contract extension, Paris seems to have won. The striker decided at the end of May not to trade the French capital for the Spanish capital. PSG will thus be able to approach next season with Donnarumma, Ramos, Verratti, Neymar, Messi and Mbappé. The squad is worth €818m, nearly €500m more than Monaco’s second most expensive side.

On the bench, on the other hand, there is a new face. Coach Mauricio Pochettino never really became a darling of managers and fans despite domestic success. PSG boss Nasser Al-Khelaifi fired the Argentinian and signed successful coach Christophe Galtier, who won the league with Lille and convinced last season with Nice. Apart from domestic titles, Galtier also has to take care of the Champions League. So far, all of its predecessors have failed in this mission.

REUTERS/Ammar Awad

Olympique de Marseille – Change of coach at OM

Olympique de Marseille had a fantastic season and fully deserved their qualification for the Champions League. The team was revived by coach Jorge Sampaoli and showed attractive football. By becoming vice-champion, OM moved up three places in the standings, the previous year, OM had only finished fifth. It is not excluded that Marseille will also finish in second place next season.

However, a change of coach has also taken place in Marseille. Jorge Sampaoli was dismissed during the summer break following internal tensions. The new director is Igor Tudor, who arrives from Italy in France. At Hellas Verona, the Croatian provided solid work which allowed him to access higher functions. Nothing has changed in the Marseille workforce, with the exception of the departure of Kamera. The positive point is that Marseille were able to sign the loaned players Guendouzi, Ünder and Milik definitively.

AS Monaco – Clément reverses the trend

AS Monaco finished in third place in the standings for the second consecutive time last season. Coach Niko Kovac had led the Monegasques to 3rd in the 20/21 season and failed to qualify for the Champions League before the start of Ligue 1. Monaco could therefore only participate in the Europa League last season, where the club finally stopped in the round of 16 losing against Braga. Niko Kovac was however no longer in office at that time, replaced by Philippe Clément

In the middle of the season, Monaco was then in 7th place, Kovac was sacked and Philippe Clement took over. The Belgian brought Monaco out of no man’s land in the standings to move up to third place. Even if the result is the same as that of the season before, it is a total success behind PSG and Marseille. If Monaco continues its momentum with Philippe Clément, Monaco will be a serious candidate for second place in the championship.

Ligue 1 champions over the past 10 years

Year Champions
2022 Paris Saint Germain
2021 Lille OSC
2020 Paris Saint Germain
2019 Paris Saint Germain
2018 Paris Saint Germain
2017 AS Monaco
2016 Paris Saint Germain
2015 Paris Saint Germain
2014 Paris Saint Germain
2013 Paris Saint Germain

Stade Rennais – Again in the top 6?

With a squad value of 240 million euros, Stade Rennes is the sixth most expensive club in the French elite. The team of coach Bruno Génésio is therefore worth 90 million euros less than the team of Olympique Lyonnais, his supposedly superior opponent. But, the Lyonnais disappointed last season and only finished in eighth position. Rennes, meanwhile, finished in 4th place and thus ranked among the top five teams in Ligue 1 for only the second time in the past 15 years. In addition, Rennes had to manage the double burden of the Conference League.

The Breton team finished 6ᵉ at the end of the 20/21 season, which allowed them to play the international season which has just ended. In the Conference League, Rennes was eliminated in the round of 16 by Leicester. But, for sure, Rennes were able to improve despite the double workload. Next season, Rennes will again be rightfully expected among the top six teams in Ligue 1. The transfer of Loïc Badé for 17 million euros shows that the club from north-west France has this ambition.

OGC Nice – Can Favre reconnect with the success of Galtier?

OGC Nice had to make up for the loss of coach Patrick Viera in the summer of 2021. The French legend only led the Côte d’Azur team to 9th place in the standings during the off-season , which forced Viera to leave Nice amicably. In the 2020/21 season, Lille won the league to everyone’s surprise and head coach Christophe Galtier yearned for a new challenge. Nice’s call came at a good time for the 55-year-old. Galtier and the OGC corresponded directly. The Frenchman led Nice to 5th place in the standings last season. For Nice, this result is the best since the 2016/17 season, when OGC finished third in the table. Due to obtaining 5th place, we will be able to see Nice in the Conference League.

As we know, Nice will approach this task without Galtier. But, with Lucien Favre at the helm, an old face is coming back. The Swiss has already worked on the Côte d’Azur from 2016 to 2018 and brought Nice back to Europe. As the club from the south of France did not have to part with any of its executives, Favre can be trusted to play for the Champions League places with Nice.

Olympique Lyonnais – The return of the prodigal sons

What about Olympique Lyonnais? The Lyonnais still have the third richest squad in Ligue 1 with 330 million euros, but ambitions and reality are currently very far apart at OL. After Lyon finished only fourth in the standings in the offseason, coach Rudi Garcia had to leave the Rhône-Alpes region after just two seasons. Lyon are still chasing after five strong years under Bruno Génésio, in which Lyon only finished fourth once. For the season which has just ended, OL tried their luck with coach Peter Bosz, known in Germany for his spells in Leverkusen and Dortmund.

But even in France, the Dutch coach failed to convince. Despite a better end to the season, during which the Lyonnais won four of their last five games, Lyon only finished in 8th place in the standings. This is the worst ranking since the 1995/96 season. Despite this result, Lyon have decided to start next season with Bosz. Lyon have a strong team, but they have to show continuous performance. If successful, Olympique can definitely have a better season and compete for international starting spots. So far, Lyon have strengthened with Lacazette and Tolisso to achieve their new goals.

Ligue 1: who will be the 2022/23 French champion?

Messi, Neymar and Mbappe…? Even without great effort and sometimes playing casually, PSG were crowned French champions last season with a 15-point lead. Next season, the Parisians will again be the most credible candidates to win the championship due to their individual quality. It is de facto very unrealistic that PSG fails to win in 38 days. As it is hardly worth betting on PSG as champions of France, we would rather advise you to bet on PSG winning the Ligue 1 and the Champions League.

  • Rating : 7.58
  • Bookmaker: Winamax

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