Premier League predictions: Away wins for Arsenal, Man Utd and Liverpool on Sunday | football-news

Our tipster Jones Is aware of assesses Sunday’s Premier League motion and desires to again Arsenal, Man Utd and Liverpool.

Chelsea v Arsenal, Sunday 12pm

Chelsea stay a crew overperforming in accordance with the underlying numbers below Graham Potter, particularly in assault.

Within the six Premier League video games he is overseen Chelsea have averaged a non-penalty anticipated objectives tally of 1.06 per-90 – that is a disappointing return for a crew which might be being priced up as a top-four facet and have had a delicate run of video games in opposition to the likes of Wolves, Aston Villa and Brentford. As compared, Arsenal are working at a 1.82 non-penalty anticipated objectives common per-90 this season.

That Chelsea common dropped to 0.28 when dealing with Manchester United – a real top-six ranked crew – the place Jorginho’s penalty got here out of nothing throughout a really stale attacking efficiency. There have been moments of incisive play below Potter, who I am positive will get it proper as soon as figuring out all of the elements to this Chelsea machine. But, with out the pure width and creativity of Reece James and business of N’Golo Kante, Chelsea are wanting a bit misplaced on this transitional interval.

However there are issues for Arsenal’s assault when taking part in away from dwelling, too. There was an enormous downward trajectory on their attacking numbers of their final 4 highway journeys in all competitions. They’ve scored simply three objectives and struggled for depth in opposition to Southampton and Leeds with out the added bonus of a pumped dwelling crowd.

The outright betting has this an equal encounter with 13/8 out there with Sky Wager on each groups. I would be steering away from that angle, though for the needs of the prediction I would facet with Arsenal narrowly. My curiosity is within the below 2.5 objectives line at 10/11 with Sky Wager in what could possibly be a recreation the place defenses rule all.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: Below 2.5 objectives (10/11 with Sky Wager – Wager Right here!)

Aston Villa v Manchester United, Sunday 2pm

That is how Unai Emery would need it to be in his first recreation. His Aston Villa facet of him are the underdogs and can have a raucous dwelling following roaring them on, buoyed by the thrilling appointment. A fast take a look at the overall objectives return in his first aggressive match answerable for a brand new facet (Villarreal, Arsenal, PSG, Sevilla, Spartak Moscow, Valencia, Almeria and Lorca CF) exhibits that he can get to work shortly at organising a crew with good defensive construction. In these eight video games, there was a median of simply 1.87 whole objectives.

I am absolutely anticipating this encounter to observe that low objective common. Manchester United are a facet going locations nevertheless it’s a mode constructed on solidity and grabbing management of video games at key moments. The attacking chemistry is not fairly on the ranges demanded by Erik ten Hag as but and it is lending itself to some low-scoring video games. All 4 of their final Premier League matches have failed below the two.5 objective line and with maybe some heavy legs following their conflict with Actual Sociedad on Thursday, one objective could possibly be sufficient to take this one.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: Below 2.5 objectives (10/11 with Sky Wager – Wager Right here!)

Southampton v Newcastle, Sunday 2pm, reside on Sky Sports activities

Sunday sixth November 1:00pm

Kick-off 2:00 p.m.


Common readers of this column (hey mum) will pay attention to the ache that scorches by my physique each time James Ward-Prowse making the England squad is talked about. His omission of him from the Euro 2020 squad signaled a sickening finish to 2 years of backing him at inflated prices-some as huge as 16/1-to make the ultimate squad.

There is likely to be a little bit of payback coming my means if Callum Wilson can preserve scoring objectives. He was a part of my ante-post portfolio at first of the season at costs starting from 11/1 down to six/1 to make the World Cup squad. All appeared misplaced when his physique failed him after a brilliant begin however his main function on this splendidly strong Newcastle facet after regaining health has catapulted him again into England competition. He’s now 11/10. Do not break my coronary heart once more, Gareth.

Wilson is a streaky striker when within the temper, and along with his motivation ranges sky excessive he charges because the more than likely first goalscorer at St Mary’s even when his 7/2 worth with Sky Wager is about proper. Of their final 10 Premier League video games solely three Premier League objectives have been scored by Southampton attacking gamers, so it does make the reliability of Wilson’s ending, regardless of the thin worth, stand out when assessing that market.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-2

West Ham v Crystal Palace, Sunday 2pm

Patrick Vieira is a supervisor who for some cause struggles to encourage his groups away from dwelling. Since taking on final season, Palace are posting relegation efficiency metrics with regards to their attacking numbers and total report. He has received simply 4 of his 24 away video games – a kind of was at Manchester Metropolis, unbelievably. In these video games their whole anticipated objectives return from 23.15 is the bottom whole posted by any Premier League facet to not have been promoted or relegated in that interval.

David Moyes
Picture:
David Moyes can lead West Ham to a win vs Palace

Vieira had comparable issues scoring objectives on the highway at Good, the place his crew averaged simply 0.9 objectives per 90 minutes in his 37 matches managing the French facet away from dwelling. Maybe his possession-based, managed model of him is hard to implement when opposition groups play with extra perception at dwelling. Having watched them play at Leicester and Everton, I’m fully in opposition to Palace this weekend in opposition to an bettering West Ham facet who’ve received 9 of their final 13 video games in all competitions, together with their final three Premier League dwelling video games. the 10/11 with Sky Wager on a Hammers win ought to land.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0

Tottenham v Liverpool, Sunday 4.30pm, reside on Sky Sports activities

Sunday sixth November 4:00pm

Kick-off 4:30 p.m.


When assessing the standard of ahead gamers lacking throughout each groups, added to the relentless fixture listing since October 1, it is simple to foresee this conflict not being the most effective model of itself. Luis Diaz and Diogo Jota are out for Liverpool while Heung-Min Son, Richarlison and Dejan Kulusevski are large absentees for Spurs as their capacity to play shortly in transition is now severely impacted.

Spurs have been counting on second-half rallies and objectives from set items to flee some sticky conditions however Liverpool are a really powerful crew to attain in opposition to from such situations – they and West Ham are solely two groups but to concede from a nook this season. I can see Spurs struggling to create many openings from open play, particularly with out the pace and directness of Son who scored in each fixtures in opposition to Liverpool final season.

Nevertheless, Liverpool do not precisely fill with me confidence both within the objectives division away from dwelling in opposition to a probable Tottenham low block. Jurgen Klopp spoke after the Napoli win of “having to struggle by after which the true soccer that we will play can come again” which screams to me he’ll be taking part in with extra safety than typical with a purpose to preserve Alisson’s objective protected. The markets are foreseeing a little bit of a objective frenzy, with the sport extra more likely to go over 2.5 objectives than below. I disagree. Again to low-scoring affair.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: Below 2.5 objectives (11/10 with Sky Wager – Wager Right here!)

Leave a Comment