The Fantasy Premier League (FPL) speaking factors from 4 extra of Saturday’s Premier League fixtures are mentioned in our newest Scout Notes article.
Bournemouth v Nottingham Forest, Crystal Palace v Newcastle United, Southampton v Aston Villa and West Ham United v Everton are the video games in query.
The numbers you see on this article are taken from our Premium Members Space, the place you may entry Opta participant and crew information for each single Premier League fixture this season.
SIX IN SIX FOR NEWCASTLE DEFENSE
In case you’re already sitting fairly on two or three representatives of Newcastle United’s defence, you will be swimming in clear sheet factors.
It is now six shut-outs in a row for Eddie Howe’s troops after Saturday’s goalless draw at Selhurst Park, a interval during which the Magpies have allowed their opponents only one solitary huge probability (a penalty to Fulham in Gameweek 20).
Above: Newcastle’s NPxGC is significantly higher than even Arsenal and Man Metropolis’s within the final six matches
In case you nonetheless solely personal the absurdly constant Kieran Trippier (£6.0m), nonetheless, the query must be requested if now’s the appropriate time so as to add to your ranks, as galling as it could be to see the double/triple-ups elsewhere. The following two fixtures are wonderful, make no mistake, however in addition they occur to be (doubtless) Double Gameweeks for different golf equipment and people valuable free transfers is likely to be wanted elsewhere. Three highly effective assaults then observe in Gameweeks 24-26, the center fixture of which is also a clean.
It appears to be like rosier thereafter, with the Magpies considered one of a handful of sides already assured of a fixture in Clean Gameweek 28 and having fun with some respectable matches round it.
The targets have stopped flowing on the different finish of the pitch, with only one scored within the final 4 matches, though do not forget that Newcastle adopted up their final mini-drought (Gameweeks 5-9) with 9 targets in two fixtures.
Above: Newcastle have underachieved on the anticipated targets (xG) entrance greater than another facet of their final 4 matches, suggesting likelihood is nonetheless arriving
We would simply be witnessing a regression to a extra sustainable imply for Miguel Almirón (£5.9m), though it is value stating that he is at the moment on his longest run of 2022/23 and not using a ‘huge probability’ (4 matches).
“We did most issues proper at this time, I assumed we performed very properly. We managed the sport, had probabilities. Perhaps not completely must-score moments however a variety of probabilities that you simply’d wish to assume we might do higher with if we might have them once more. We had a variety of the ball round their field, a variety of good build-up play. We simply could not rating the aim.
“Everytime you’re not scoring, it is a concern. We’re not scoring the numbers that I would need to. However I do not assume there’s any concern about our fashion of play when it comes to how we’re approaching the sport.
“Groups are giving us a variety of respect, they’re placing a variety of males behind the ball. For an away crew coming right here, to have the quantity of possession and management that we did is uncommon.” –Eddie Howe
Palace stay backside of our Season Ticker till the March worldwide break, so there’s little Fantasy curiosity within the mid-table Eagles.
They could be with out their talisman for some time, too, after wilfried zaha (£7.3m) limped off with a hamstring harm on Saturday.
“There isn’t any replace. We should wait till Monday to actually discover out the character of the harm.
“It appeared like a hamstring harm, yeah.” –Patrick Vieira on Wilfried Zaha
We noticed a cluster of January switch window signings in motion for his or her new golf equipment in Gameweek 21, together with two on the Vitality Stadium.
Chris Wooden (£5.6m) made his Nottingham Forest bow and was thrust straight into the beginning XI at Bournemouth, who handed a primary begin to dango ouattara (£5.0m).
Wooden was quiet however his job may very well be extra facilitator than outright aim risk anyway, releasing up room for the gamers round him – on Saturday, that was Morgan Gibbs-White (£5.5m) and brennan johnson (£5.6m).
It wasn’t simply the Gameweek 21 stats that advised this however Forest boss Steve Cooper himself.
“Sooner or later, he’ll get much more balls, much more service and doubtless much more area. However what you noticed is he occupies multiple defender, which then means the area opens up for the likes of Morgan and Brennan. That is actually necessary we have got that in our sport, as a result of we have to have a wide range of assaults.” –Steve Cooper on Chris Wooden
|Chris Wooden||Morgan Gibbs-White||brennan johnson|
|Penalty space touches||one||6||9|
|Photographs within the field||0||2||3|
|Anticipated targets (xG)||0.00||0.17||0.26|
Gibbs-White’s seven probabilities created took him to 21 in his final six matches, greater than another FPL midfielder. Forest’s journey illness drags on, nonetheless, with just one win and three targets scored on the street this season.
Ouattara was very shiny down the Bournemouth proper flank, recording 5 pictures of his personal and teeing up jaidon anthony (£5.2m) for the hosts’ opener, the Cherries’ first aim because the restart. However no matter infinitesimally small curiosity we would have had in Bournemouth gamers shrinks additional once we take a look at the upcoming fixture record:
Away from the south coast, Danny Ings (£6.4m) made a debut for West Ham United however solely as a late substitute.
BOWEN BRACE, BUDGET WING-BACKS
With reference to the Hammers, a Jarrod Bowen (£8.0m) brace helped David Moyes see off Frank Lampard (in additional methods than one, it seems) within the sport dubbed ‘El Sackico’.
Bowen’s two targets doubled his disappointing tally for 2022/23. Each strikes have been deemed ‘huge probabilities’ by Opta and so they have been his first such alternatives since Gameweek 14, so there must be a big asterisk subsequent to the 16-point haul as a result of high quality of the opposition.
Definitely, West Ham’s upcoming fixtures (4 top-six sides and/or as many as two blanks), there’s little to get enthusiastic about from an FPL perspective.
One to factor monitor for extra favorable future fixture runs might be Moyes’s use of formation, because the wing-back system was again in operation right here and featured bargain-bin defenders Vladimir Coufal (£4.1m) and Emerson Palmieri (£4.0m) down the flanks. Emerson was essentially the most spectacular of the 2, recording two penalty field touches, one shot and two probabilities created, however as long as extra orthodox full-back Aaron Creswell (£4.8m) is round and Moyes retains some use of a 4-2-3-1/4-3-3, there’ll at all times be game-time uncertainty.
As for Everton, we now await the ax falling on Lampard. The Toffees had simply 5 pictures all sport in east London and solely Wolves have now scored fewer targets this season.
VILLA DEFENSE IMPRESSING UNDER EMERY
It is now 5 league wins, one draw and only one defeat for Aston Villa beneath new boss Unai Emery, with Ollie Watkins‘ (£7.1m) late aim securing all three factors at Southampton. That was Watkins’ fourth attacking return in six matches throughout his new supervisor’s tenure.
An ‘out of place’ Leon Bailey (£4.5m) once more appeared a risk within the ultimate third, registering 4 pictures in all, however his ending was again to being wasteful after his confidence-boosting aim in Gameweek 20.
Whereas Villa’s assault remains to be bottom-half materials for anticipated targets (xG) beneath Emery, their defensive numbers are extra eye-catching:
Above: Villa are ranked fifth for anticipated targets granted (xGC) since Unai Emery joined
It isn’t all been plain crusing (Leeds have been the higher facet final week) however Villa have confronted free-scoring outfits like Manchester United, Brighton and Hove Albion, Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur in Emery’s first seven video games, simply to offer some context.
Alex Moreno (£4.5m) appeared attacking on his full debut, registering two pictures and as many probabilities created, whereas the opposite three members of Villa’s again 4 all price beneath £4.5m, together with a powerful Tyrone Mings (£4.3m).
One of many few sides unaffected by Clean Gameweeks 25, 28 and 32, Villa rise to first in our Season Ticker eleven matches in opposition to the highest two are out of the best way:
Goalscoring stays a little bit of an issue for Southampton, with simply 4 targets arriving of their first 5 post-restart fixtures. To say they’re overly reliant on James Ward Prowse (£6.2m) is likely to be an understatement, as he is scored all 4. Even right here, it was the set-piece-taking talisman – once more deployed in a sophisticated quantity 10 position – who thought he had damaged the impasse, just for his deflected effort to be dominated out for a foul by VAR.